Biofuels Market Size Driven Sustainable Aviation Fuel Demand | Archer Daniels Midland Co, POET LLC, Neste Oyj, Valero Energy Corp

Biofuels Market Overview:

The global biofuels market is set for strong growth, with its size projected to expand from $121.23 billion in 2025 to $225.32 billion by 2030, registering a 13.2% CAGR 2025-2030. This expansion reflects the increasing role of biofuels in meeting decarbonization targets across transport, aviation, and marine sectors.

Biofuels, derived from renewable feedstocks such as sugar crops, starch crops, algae, and waste oils, are becoming central to energy strategies worldwide. Governments are tightening blending mandates, airlines are committing to sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and oil majors are converting refineries to produce renewable diesel. Together, these developments are positioning biofuels as a mainstream energy source that complements electrification and supports hard-to-abate sectors.

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Top Key Trends in the Biofuels Market

Transport Blend Mandates in Asia and South America: Countries like Indonesia, India, and Brazil are raising blending requirements, ensuring predictable demand and reducing reliance on imported fossil fuels. India’s move toward 20% ethanol blending by 2025 is a key driver

Corporate Commitments in North America: Logistics and retail companies are signing long-term purchase agreements for renewable diesel and SAF. These contracts provide revenue visibility for producers and accelerate refinery conversions.

Tax Incentives for SAF in the U.S. and EU: Policies such as the U.S. Clean Fuel Production Credit and EU SAF mandates are narrowing the cost gap between biofuels and conventional fuels, encouraging adoption at scale.

Shift Away from Palm Oil in Europe: The EU’s Renewable Energy Directive III is phasing out palm-based feedstocks, prompting investment in algae, waste oils, and regenerative crops.

Emergence of Bio-Naphtha: Beyond transport, bio-naphtha is gaining traction as a feedstock for petrochemical decarbonization, opening new market opportunities.

Discover how market shifts are impacting your region-check out the full report and the Japanese version for local relevance: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/ja/industry-reports/biofuels-market?utm_source=emailwire

Biofuels Market Segmentation

The biofuels market is segmented by fuel type, generation, feedstock, technology, end-use, and geography:

• By Fuel Type
  • Bioethanol (largest share, entrenched in blends like U.S. E10 and Brazil’s E27)
  • Biodiesel (FAME)
  • Renewable Diesel (HVO)
  • Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF, fastest-growing segment)
  • Bio-Naphtha and other drop-in fuels
• By Generation
  • First-Generation (sugar and starch-based fuels)
  • Second-Generation (cellulosic fuels)
  • Third-Generation (algae-based fuels, fastest growth)
  • Fourth-Generation (synthetic biology, pre-commercial stage)
• By Feedstock
  • Sugar crops (sugarcane, sugar beet)
  • Starch crops (corn, wheat, cassava)
  • Oilseeds (soy, rapeseed, palm)
  • Used cooking oil and animal fats
  • Lignocellulosic residues
  • Algae
• By Technology
  • Fermentation (dominant for ethanol)
  • Trans-esterification
  • Hydrotreatment (HVO/SAF, fastest-growing)
  • Gasification and Fischer-Tropsch synthesis
  • Pyrolysis and upgrading
• By End-Use Sector
  • Road transport (largest share)
  • Aviation (fastest growth due to SAF demand)
  • Marine (adoption of biodiesel blends)
  • Power generation and heating
• By Geography
  • North America (largest market share)
  • Europe (policy-driven growth, palm oil phase-out)
  • Asia-Pacific (fastest-growing region)
  • South America
  • Middle East & Africa

Browse Competitive Landscape Details:

Key Players in the Biofuels Market

• Neste Oyj – A leader in renewable diesel and SAF, leveraging proprietary hydrotreatment technology.
• POET LLC – Major ethanol producer with strong U.S. presence.
• Valero Energy Corp. – Expanding renewable diesel capacity through Diamond Green Diesel.
• BP p.l.c. / Bunge Bioenergia – Securing sugarcane ethanol and bagasse feedstock in Brazil.
• Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM) – Diversified biofuel production across ethanol and biodiesel.

Other notable players include Shell, Chevron Renewable Energy Group, Gevo, LanzaTech, Green Plains, Petrobras, and TotalEnergies. These companies are investing in feedstock diversification, refinery conversions, and partnerships to secure long-term supply contracts.

Conclusion: Biofuels Market Growth Path

While road transport remains the largest consumer, aviation and marine sectors are emerging as critical demand drivers. Sustainable aviation fuel, in particular, is expected to reshape priorities as airlines commit to net-zero targets.